Statement of Housing Land Supply and Housing Trajectory 2016-2036

Contents

  1. Introduction
  2. Housing Land Supply 2016-2036
  3. Timescales for Delivery of Housing (Housing Trajectory)
  4. Statement of Five Year Housing Land Supply
     

1.  Introduction

1.1.    This report has a base date of 1 April 2020 and sets out the housing land supply position for New Forest District (outside the National Park). The New Forest District (outside the National Park) Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1: Planning Strategy was formally adopted on 6 July 2020 and is therefore used as the basis for calculating the Council's housing land supply. This report sets out that the Council is able to demonstrate a five year housing land supply for the period 2020/21-2024/25 of 6.11 years using the most appropriate assumptions that are explained in Section 4 of this report.

Strategic Housing Target

1.2.    The Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1: Planning Strategy seeks to deliver a housing target of at least 10,420 (net) dwellings for the period 2016-2036.

1.3.    The housing requirement is to be achieved through a step change in housing delivery and, as set out in Policy STR5, will be phased as follows:

  • 2016/17 to 2020/21 - 300 dwellings per annum
  • 2021/22 to 2025/26 - 400 dwellings per annum
  • 2026/27 to 2035/36 - 700 dwellings per annum

1.4.    The components of housing supply that will meet the Local Plan housing requirement are summarised at Table 1. It shows a total housing supply for the period 2016-2036 of 10,630 dwellings.

Table 1: Summary of all sources of housing supply for the Local Plan period 2016-2036 as of 1 April 2020

Source of Housing Supply 2016-2036

Contribution from Source of Supply

Net Completions 2016/17-2019/20

1,283

Planning Permissions (Large Sites - Sites of 10 or more dwellings)

656

Large Sites with a resolution to grant planning permission (Subject to Section 106 Agreements) as of 1 April 2020

69

Planning Permissions (Small Sites - Sites of 1-9 dwellings)

308 (Figure includes 10% discount)

Non-permissioned adopted Local Plan Part 2 (2014) Allocations

656

Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1 Strategic Site Allocations

5,995 (At least)

Other Sites of 10 or more homes identified in the SHLAA

739

Small site windfalls (1-9 dwellings) and potential affordable housing exception sites

924

Total

10,630

 

2.  Housing Land Supply 2016-2036

2.1.    This section details the components of supply of housing land which are to meet the Local Plan housing requirement of at least 10,420 (net) dwellings.

Housing Delivery in the Plan Period to Date

2.2.    Table 2 shows that 1,283 net dwellings have been completed so far in the Plan period 2016-2036 for the Local Plan which is an average of around 321 dwellings per year, compared with the annual target of 300 dwellings (1,200 dwellings for the period 2016- 2020). Table 3 shows the breakdown of completions by site for the most recent monitoring year 2019/20.

Table 2: Net Completions for years 2016/17, 2017/18, 2018/19 and 2019/20

Year

Total Completions

Large Sites (10+)

Small Sites (1-9)

2016/17

350

265

85

2017/18

266

187

79

2018/19

359

283

76

2019/20

308

189

119

Total

1,283

924

359

 

Table 3: Net Completions 2019/20 by Site

Total Completions by Site 2019/20

Site Name

Completions

TOT7 Land at Stocklands, Calmore Drive, Totton (Permissioned: 17/11651)

20

TOT8 Land off Blackwater Drive, Compton & Sarum, Totton (Permissioned: 15/11647)

35

2 South Street, Hythe (Permissioned: 17/11646)

-2

LYM2 Land north of Alexandra Road, Lymington (Permissioned: 16/10764)

14

Buckland Granaries, Lymington (Permissioned: 17/10854)

-1

99 Wainsford Road, Lymington (Permissioned: 17/10906)

10

57-59 Station Road, New Milton (Permissioned: 15/10032, 17/11741, 16/11715)

4

Abbeyfield House, 17 Herbert Road, New Milton (Permissioned: 19/10264)

-1

RING3 Land west of Crow Lane, Ringwood (Permissioned: 16/11520, 17/11358, Granted subject to s.106 Agreement: 18/11648)

63

FORD1 Land east of Whitsbury Road, Fordingbridge (Permissioned: 17/10150)

47

Small Sites (1-9 Dwellings)

119

Total Completions 2019/20

308

 

Large Permissions (Sites of 10 or more Dwellings)

2.3.    Table 4 overleaf sets out existing large site permissions in the Plan Area and the capacity anticipated to be delivered over the remainder of the Local Plan period. In the case of those sites which were under construction the number of dwellings expected to be built on the site within the rest of the Local Plan period are noted.

2.4.    The following sites with planning permission have been excluded from the overall housing supply for the Local Plan period:

  •  1-20 Marsh Parade, Hythe (01/73799 - 7 homes remaining): Partially implemented but remaining dwellings very unlikely to be delivered.
  • Land at 142-144 Southampton Road, Lymington (10/96153 - 6 homes remaining): Partially implemented but remaining dwellings very unlikely to be delivered.

2.5.    Land at Hanger Farm, Totton (TOT3) is a greenfield site with highway access points in place and there are no onerous infrastructure requirements. The area benefits from extant detailed planning approvals details of which are set out in the tables below.

App. Ref.

Date

Dwellings

89872 Reserved Matters

28/06/2007

288

83625 Reserved Matters

22/03/2005

42

 

2.6.    There is also extant permission for 14 dwellings including 11 houses, one flat and conversion of the Manor Farm Building to provide two dwellings. This is covered by the following permissions:

App. Ref.

Date

Dwellings

78798 Outline

26/09/2003

14

85757 Reserved Matters

21/11/2005

12

 

2.7.    The developer has delayed the build-out and delivery of the site, and the Council recognises that not all of 342 consented dwellings are likely to be built out in the Local Plan period. However, because the site has no onerous physical constraints, infrastructure constraints or costs, it already benefits from three highway access points and development is able to recommence at any time, the Council considers that it is reasonable for this site to be included in the updated housing trajectory from year 2029/30 onwards with 282 dwellings included within the housing supply for the Plan period. 60 dwellings are therefore phased to be completed after 2036 and are not included in the housing supply.

2.8.    In total therefore, a total of 73 dwellings from permissioned sites are not included in the overall housing supply for the Plan period.

Table 4: Housing capacity from existing large permissions

Allocation / Permission Reference

Site Name

Settlement

Number of Dwellings remaining/expected to be completed in

Plan Period

Comments

TOT3

(Permissioned: 07/89872,

05/83625)

Land at Hanger Farm

Totton

270

See paragraphs 2.5- 2.7

TOT3

(Permissioned: 03/78798,

05/85757)

Manor Farm Building, Hanger Farm)

Totton

12

See paragraphs 2.5- 2.7

TOT6

(Permissioned: 18/11018,

19/10013)

Land at Brokenford Lane

Totton

45

Under construction. Site expected to be complete in 2021/22

HYD1

(Permissioned: 15/10751,

17/11770)

Land at Forest Lodge Farm

Hythe

45

37 of the dwellings are nearly complete, but drainage issues are currently delaying completion/occupation.

Application 17/11770/VAR for a revised drainage proposal which will resolve the issue and enable the site to be completed/occupied

was granted permission in March 2020. Site is expected to be completed by 2021/22

16/11646

2 South Street

Hythe

43

Under construction. Site expected to be complete in 2021/22

17/11204

Hythe and Dibden War Memorial Hospital

Hythe

21

Hybrid consent with hospital component having full planning permission and the residential component having outline planning permission. The new hospital will be delivered before the new housing

17/10854

Buckland Granaries

Lymington

12

Under construction. Site expected to be complete in 2020/21

MoS1

(Permissioned: 17/10606)

Land north of School Lane

Milford on Sea

42

Under construction. Site expected to be complete in 2021/22

15/10032,

17/11741

59 Station Road

New Milton

10

Expected to be complete in 2022/23

18/10198,

11/97163

21 Kennard Road

New Milton

11

Under construction.

Site expected to be complete in 2021/22

19/10264

Abbeyfield House, 17 Herbert Road

New Milton

10

Under construction. Site expected to be complete in 2021/22

RING3

(Permissioned:

17/11358)

Land west of Crow Lane

Ringwood

25

Remaining dwellings under construction.

Expected to be completed in 2020/21

FORD1

(Permissioned:

17/10150)

Land east of Whitsbury Road

Fordingbridge

96

Site expected to be complete in 2022/23

SAND1

(Permissioned:

19/11080,

19/11083)

Land west of Scout Centre, Station Road

Sandleheath

14

Pre-commencement Conditions being discharged

Total Plan Area

656

 

 

 

 

Large Sites with a resolution to grant planning permission (Subject to Section 106 Agreements) as of 1 April 2020

2.9.    Table 5 below sets out two large sites (sites of 10 or more homes) which as of 1 April 2020 had a resolution to grant full planning permission subject to the signing of a Section 106 Agreement. These sites are suitable for housing development, available and deliverable in accordance with national policy.

Table 5: Housing capacity from Large Sites with a resolution to grant planning permission (Subject to Section 106 Agreements) as of 1 April 2020

Allocation / Permission Reference

Site Name

Settlement

Capacity

Current Status

19/11056

Fernmount House and Centre, Forest Pines

New Milton

49

The signing of the Section 106 Agreement has been delayed but there are not any known impediments that will prevent it from being completed and it is expected that it will be signed and full planning permission formally issued before the end of 2020. The applicant is a developer who will build out the site

RING3 (18/11648)

Land west of Crow Lane

Ringwood

20

Section 106 Agreement has now been signed and planning permission was formally issued on 21 May 2020. This scheme for 20 dwellings is in addition to the 175 dwellings already permitted (16/11520 and 17/11358) on the wider site

Total Plan Area

69

 

 

Small Permissions (Sites of less than 10 Dwellings)

2.10.  Existing unimplemented planning permissions for sites with a net gain of less than 10 dwellings also contribute to the supply for the Plan period. Schemes for permission that fall below this threshold are considered collectively. Rather than site by site monitoring of phasing for these schemes, we have applied a 10% discount to the outstanding net gain in dwellings to take account of the potential level of uncertainty regarding the exact number of permissions that will be implemented. This approach is considered to provide the appropriate level of confidence and degree of flexibility in the figures. The supply and phasing expected from permissioned small sites is explained in Table 6 below.

Table 6: Housing capacity from small site commitments

 

Capacity

Projected Housing Completions

 

 

2020/21

2021/22

2022/23

2023/24

Total Plan Area

308

77

77

77

77

 

Non-permissioned adopted Local Plan Part 2 (2014) Allocations

2.11.  There are a number of remaining Local Plan Part 2 (2014) allocations that remain non- permissioned. These have been reviewed to monitor the suitability and developability of these sites.

2.12.  The following two sites totalling 230 dwellings have been excluded from the overall housing supply for the Local Plan period as there is no longer any prospect of them delivering homes within the Plan period:

  • MAR2 Land at Park's Farm, Marchwood (100 homes): The site has been developed as a training ground for Southampton FC and is no longer available for residential development
  • NMT4-NMT6 Land at Caird Avenue, New Milton (130 homes): The western portion of the site (NMT4/NMT5) is allocated in the emerging New Milton Neighbourhood Plan (New Milton Neighbourhood Plan (Draft Policy NM3): New Milton Neighbourhood Plan Publication Version May 2019. The Neighbourhood Plan has passed its examination and is now at referendum stage so is a significant material consideration in the determination of planning applications.) for commercial development only as residential development is no longer considered possible on the site. The eastern part of the site (NMT6) is in use for gravel processing / extraction and will not be available within the Local Plan period

2.13.  The other remaining existing non-permissioned adopted Local Plan allocations listed in Table 7 below remain suitable for housing development with no known reasons that would prevent them from coming forward within the Local Plan period 2016-2036, and it is therefore reasonable for them to form part of the overall housing supply.

Table 7: Housing capacity from non-permissioned adopted Local Plan Part 2 (2014) Allocations

Allocation Reference

Site Name

Settlement

Capacity in Plan Period

Comments on Progress to Date

TOT1

Land at Durley Farm

Totton

80

Housebuilder Taylor Wimpey controls the site. Request for Screening Opinion (19/10576) for proposed residential development undertaken. Pre-application advice has been given

TOT6

Land at Jackie Wigg Gardens, east of Brokenford Lane

Totton

10

No meaningful progress to date

TOT9

Bus Depot, Salisbury Road

Totton

15

No meaningful progress to date

TOT11

Land at Eling Wharf

Totton

400

Site required in short/medium term for port related operations. Longer term potential for redevelopment post 2025/26

MAR1

Land between Cracknore Hard Lane and Normandy Way

Marchwood

12

No meaningful progress to date

MAR3

Land south of Hythe Road

Marchwood

15

No meaningful progress to date

MAR4

Land off Mulberry Road

Marchwood

15

No meaningful progress to date

HYD2

Land at Cabot Drive

Hythe

10

Discussions are ongoing with the site owner (Hampshire County Council) regarding bringing the site forward

BLA1

Land adjacent to Blackfield Primary School

Blackfield

30

No meaningful progress to date

LYM5

Fox Pond Dairy Depot and Garage, Milford Road

Lymington

14

No meaningful progress to date

NMT2

Land west of Moore Close

New Milton

15

This site is owned and being brought forward by New Forest District Council and the necessary technical work prior to submitting a full planning application is being progressed. The Council expects to deliver the site within the next five years

NMT3

Land off Park Road, Ashley

New Milton

20

No meaningful progress to date

NMT8

Ashley Cross Garage, Ashley Lane

New Milton

10

No meaningful progress to date

ASH1

Land adjoining Jubilee Crescent

Ashford

10

Outline planning application (20/10842) is currently being determined

Total Plan Area

656

 

 

Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1 Strategic Site Allocations

2.14.  The Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1: Planning Strategy allocates 18 new strategic sites which in total will contribute at least 5,995 homes during the Plan period. The suitability, availability, achievability and deliverability of these strategic sites were tested thoroughly by the Planning Inspectors during the recent examination of the Local Plan. The minimum housing capacities in the Plan period of each of the strategic site allocations is set out in Table 8 below.

Table 8: Minimum housing capacity from Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1 strategic site allocations

Site Name

Settlement

Minimum Capacity in Plan Period

SS1 Land north of Totton

Totton

1,000

SS2 Land south of Bury Road

Marchwood

700

SS3 Land at Cork's Farm

Marchwood

150

SS4 Former Fawley Power Station

Fawley

1,380

SS5 Land at Milford Road

Lymington

185

SS6 Land east of Lower Pennington Lane

Lymington

100

SS7 Land north of Manor Road

Milford on Sea

110

SS8 Land at Hordle Lane

Hordle

160

SS9 Land east of Everton Road

Hordle

100

SS10 Land east of Brockhills Lane

New Milton

130

SS11 Land south of Gore Road

New Milton

160

SS12 Land south of Derritt Lane

Bransgore

100

SS13 Land at Moortown Lane

Ringwood

480

SS14 Land north of Hightown Road

Ringwood

270

SS15 Land at Snails Lane

Ringwood

100

SS16 Land north of Station Road

Ashford

140

SS17 Land at Whitsbury Road

Fordingbridge

330

SS18 Land at Burgate

Fordingbridge

400

Total Plan Area

5,995

 

Other Sites of 10 or more homes identified in the SHLAA

2.15.  The Local Plan sets out a target for at least 800 homes on sites of 10 or more homes to be identified within or adjoining the defined towns and large villages and allocated in the Local Plan Part Two or in Neighbourhood Plans, which may include sites of 100 or more homes provided that they are within the settlement boundary. The 2018 SHLAA identified a number of sites from a number of sources including those identified by the Council as well as sites submitted by members of the public, landowners and developers.

2.16.  The following sites identified by the SHLAA process have since been granted permission or have a resolution to grant planning permission as of 1 April 2020. These sites are therefore already accounted for and so to avoid double counting these sites are removed from the supply in the Table 9 overleaf:

  • SHLAA_HYT002 Hythe & Dibden War Memorial Hospital, Hythe: Now permissioned for 21 dwellings and included in Table 4
  • SHLAA_LYM018 Former Bus Station, High Street, Lymington: Now permissioned for 9 dwellings and so now included within the small site permissions component (Table 6)
  • SHLAA_NWM010 Fernmount House & Centre, Forest Pines, New Milton: Resolution to grant planning permission (Subject to Section 106 Agreement) for 50 (49 net) extra- care dwellings and so now included in Table 5
  • SHLAA_NWM011 Land at 21 Kennard Road, New Milton: Now permissioned for 11 dwellings and included in Table 4

2.17.  The remaining potential capacity from sites (of 10 or more homes) identified by the SHLAA is 739-869 dwellings and this is set out in Tables 9 and 10 below. This list is not exhaustive as further sites may potentially be identified in the future, if and/or when they become available.

Potential brownfield sites/and or sites within the existing built-up areas

2.18.  The 2018 SHLAA [HOU05a - HOU05m] process identified brownfield sites and/or sites within the existing built-up areas capable of delivering 10 or more homes where the principle of residential development would be considered acceptable. These sites, which are set out in Table 9 below, could potentially come forward without the need for a policy allocation.

Table 9: Potential housing capacity from brownfield sites and/or sites within the defined built-up areas

SHLAA Reference

Site Name

Settlement

Capacity

SHLAA_TTN008

Totton Town Centre Area of Search

Totton

70-200

SHLAA_HYT003

Former Police Station, Jones Lane

Hythe

20

SHLAA_HYT004

Land at Orchard Gate, Noads Way

Hythe

13

SHLAA_LYM020

14-18 Milford Road

Lymington

10

SHLAA_LYM015

Jewsons Depot, Gosport Street

Lymington

10

SHLAA_LYM019

Town Hall, Avenue Road

Lymington

100

SHLAA_LYM021

Former Police Station

Lymington

20

SHLAA_LYM013

Didgmere Nurseries

Lymington

50

SHLAA_NWM012

Land south of New Milton Station

New Milton

75

SHLAA_NWM013

Land south of Manor Road

New Milton

35

SHLAA_NWM014

Land north of Osborne Road

New Milton

20

SHLAA_NWM015

Land at Station Road/Spencer Road

New Milton

60

SHLAA_NWM016

Land at Station Road/Elm Avenue

New Milton

35

SHLAA_RING008

Land adjoining The Furlong Centre to include The White Hart, Centre Place & Nos. 11-13 Meeting House Lane

Ringwood

12

SHLAA_RING009

20-26 Christchurch Road

Ringwood

16

SHLAA_ASH002

Ashford Works

Ashford

10

Total Plan Area

556-686

SHLAA_TTN008 - Wide capacity range identified subject to the extent of residential alongside town centre uses as part of mixed- use development/redevelopment. Areas of most significant development potential include Land north of Library Road and the Totton Shopping Centre Complex

 

Potential non-strategic sites outside of existing built-up areas

2.19.  The following estimate of capacity has been identified on smaller sites that are considered to be potentially suitable for residential development which are outside of existing defined built-up areas. These sites will be considered for potential allocation through the Local Plan Part 2 or through Neighbourhood Plans to help address the Local Plan requirement for homes to be delivered on non-strategic sites.

Table 10: Potential housing capacity on non-strategic sites adjoining or adjacent to defined built-up areas

SHLAA Reference

Site Name

Settlement

Capacity

SHLAA_TTN009

Land south of Jacob's Gutter Lane

Totton

10

SHLAA_MAR004

Land north of Hythe Road

Marchwood

25

SHLAA_HYT001b

Land north of Widecombe Drive

Hythe

45

SHLAA_HYT001c

Land south of Southampton Road

Hythe

45

SHLAA_HYT008

Land adjoining Frost Lane

Hythe

14

SHLAA_RING005 / SHLAA_RING006

Land at Kingfisher Lodge / east of Kingfisher Lake

Ringwood

18

SHLAA_ASH004

Land north of Station Road, east of Sandle Manor Farm

Sandleheath

26

Total Plan Area

183

 

Small Site Windfall Allowance and Potential Rural Affordable Housing Exception Sites

2.20.  The following paragraphs provide information on the estimated contribution to the Local Plan's housing supply arising from windfall development. The National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) 2019 defines windfall sites as those which have not been specifically identified as available in the Local Plan process. Paragraph 70 of the NPPF 2019 advises that local authorities may make an allowance for windfall sites in the five-year supply if they have compelling evidence that such sites have consistently become available in the local area and will continue to provide a reliable source of supply. Local planning authorities also have the ability to include a windfall allowance for years 6-15 (using the same criteria as set out in Paragraph 67 of the NPPF 2019).

2.21.  Table 11 below shows historic delivery on small site windfalls (sites delivering between 1 and 9 dwellings) over the last 11 years since adoption of the previous Icon for pdf Local Plan Part 1: Core Strategy (2009) [871.56KB]. This analysis of housing completions indicates that an average of 82 dwellings per annum was delivered through small site windfall development. This indicates the consistently strong contribution small site windfall development makes to housing delivery in New Forest district, even in the years immediately after the 2008/09 economic recession.

Table 11: Small site completions since 2009/10

Year

Completions on Small Site Windfalls

2009/10

97

2010/11

114

2011/12

93

2012/13

61

2013/14

70

2014/15

77

2015/16

66

2016/17

85

2017/18

79

2018/19

76

2019/20

119

 

2.22.  There is clear evidence of consistent and sustained delivery from small sites over the last 11 years, ranging between 61 and 119 homes per annum and averaging 85 homes per annum. In recent years, the Government has introduced a range of new permitted development rights that allow for greater flexibility of change of use. Permitted development rights now allow some commercial, office, light industrial, storage/distribution and agricultural premises to be converted to housing without the need for planning permission. It is therefore clear that small site windfalls will continue to provide a reliable source of future supply.

2.23.  Whilst potential supply from rural affordable housing exception sites cannot be quantified, a number of smaller sites, including land within the Green Belt, have been promoted to the Council for housing development. These include sites of more than nine homes as well as smaller sites. Given national policy and the Local Plan are supportive in principle of Exceptions Sites subject to meeting the relevant policy tests and conditions, it is reasonable to assume that some would come forward in the Plan Period. Those of 1-9 homes would form part of the windfall element of supply. Those of 10 or more homes would be additional.

2.24.  Based on this analysis, the Council considers it entirely justifiable to include an allowance for small site windfalls (sites delivering between 1-9 dwellings) of 77 dwellings per annum from year 2024/25 of the Local Plan period onwards equating to a total of 924 dwellings in the Plan period. The small site windfall allowance was tested during the recent Local Plan examination and, in their Report on the Examination, the Inspectors examining the Local Plan concluded that "The estimate of 77 completions per year from 2024/25 onwards (924 in total) on small windfall sites (less than ten dwellings) is reasonable and realistic in light of past trends and given the potential for rural exceptions sites and schemes through permitted development rights".

3.  Timescales for Delivery of Housing (Housing Trajectory)

3.1.    The following tables and figure illustrate the projected timescales for the delivery of the Local Plan housing requirement of at least 10,420 dwellings over the Plan period:

  • Table 12 provides an overall housing trajectory for the Local Plan housing target
  • Table 13 provides the projected phasing of each of the remaining large sites with planning permission and the remaining non-permissioned Local Plan Part 2 (2014) allocations
  • Figure 1 provides a graphical representation of the overall housing trajectory

 

Table 12: Overall Housing Trajectory

 

Past Completions

Years 1-5

Years 6-10

Year 11 onwards

 

2016/17

2017/18

2018/19

2019/20

2020/21

2021/22

2022/23

2023/24

2024/25

2025/26

2026/27

2027/28

2028/29

2029/30

2030/31

2031/32

2032/33

2033/34

2034/35

2035/36

TOTAL

Past Completions

350

266

359

308

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1283

Existing Large Commitments (Permissions and Allocations)

 

 

 

 

136

209

92

0

0

25

96

44

20

60

67

112

140

140

145

95

1381

Permissioned Small Sites (1-9 Dwellings)

 

 

 

 

77

77

77

77

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

308

SS.1 Land north of Totton

 

 

 

 

 

20

60

60

80

80

80

100

100

100

100

100

100

20

 

 

1000

SS.2 Land south of Bury Road, Marchwood

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

40

40

40

80

80

100

100

100

100

 

700

SS.3 Land at Cork's Farm, Marchwood

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

40

40

40

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

150

SS.4 The former Fawley Power Station

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

50

100

100

100

130

150

150

150

150

150

150

1380

SS.5 Land at Milford Road, Lymington

 

 

 

 

 

 

40

65

40

40

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

185

SS.6 Land east of Lower Pennington Lane, Lymington

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

40

40

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

100

SS.7 Land north of Manor Road, Milford on Sea

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

40

40

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

110

SS.8 Land at Hordle Lane, Hordle

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

40

40

40

15

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

160

SS.9 Land east of Everton Road, Hordle

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

40

40

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

100

SS.10 Land at Brockhills Lane, New Milton

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

40

40

30

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

130

SS.11 Land south of Gore Road, New Milton

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

40

40

40

15

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

160

SS.12 Land south of Derritt Lane, Bransgore

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

40

40

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

100

SS.13 Land at Moortown Lane, Ringwood

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

40

40

40

75

75

75

75

35

 

 

 

 

480

SS.14 Land north of Hightown Road, Ringwood

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

50

50

50

50

45

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

270

SS.15 Land at Snails Lane, Ringwood

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

40

40

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

100

SS.16 Land north of Station Road, Ashford

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

50

50

15

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

140

SS.17 Land at Whitsbury Road, Fordingbridge

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

25

 

 

 

 

 

330

SS.18 Land at Burgate, Fordingbridge

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

40

15

 

 

 

400

Other Sites of 10 or more homes identified in the SHLAA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

50

100

100

100

100

100

100

89

 

 

739

Windfalls (Small Sites 1-9 Dwellings)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

77

77

77

77

77

77

77

77

77

77

77

77

924

Totals

350

266

359

308

213

306

424

632

757

717

733

736

647

702

714

714

682

576

472

322

10630

Cumulative Completions

350

616

975

1283

1496

1802

2226

2858

3615

4332

5065

5801

6448

7150

7864

8578

9260

9836

10308

10630

 

Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1Stepped Housing Target

300

300

300

300

300

400

400

400

400

400

700

700

700

700

700

700

700

700

700

700

10500

 

Table 13: Projected phasing of large sites with planning permission and the remaining non-permissioned Local Plan Part 2 (2014) allocations

Projected Housing Completions from Existing Large Commitments (Permissioned Sites and non-permissioned Local Plan Part 2 (2014) Allocations

 

Years 1-5

Years 6-10

Year 11 onwards

 

 

2020/21

2021/22

2022/23

2023/24

2024/25

2025/26

2026/27

2027/28

2028/29

2029/30

2030/31

2031/32

2032/33

2033/34

2034/35

2035/36

TOTAL

TOT1 Land at Durley Farm, Totton

 

 

 

 

 

25

35

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

80

TOT3 Land at Hanger Farm, Totton (Permissioned: 07/89872, 05/83625)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

 

 

40

 

 

40

 

 

40

 

 

40

 

 

45

 

 

45

 

 

270

Manor Farm Buildings, Hanger Farm, Totton (Permissioned: 03/78798, 05/85757)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12

TOT6 Land at Brokenford Lane, Totton (Permissioned: 18/11018, 19/10013)

 

 

21

 

 

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

45

TOT6 Land at Jackie Wigg Gardens, east of Brokenford Lane, Totton

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

TOT9 Bus Depot, Salisbury Road, Totton

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15

TOT11 Land at Eling Wharf, Totton

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

50

100

100

100

50

400

MAR1 Land between Cracknore Hard Lane and Normandy Way, Marchwood

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

12

MAR3 Land south of Hythe Road, Marchwood

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15

MAR4 Land off Mulberry Road, Marchwood

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15

 

 

 

 

 

 

15

HYD1 Land at Forest Lodge Farm, Hythe (Permissioned: 15/10751, 17/11770)

 

 

37

 

 

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

45

HYD2 Land at Cabot Drive, Hythe

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

2 South Street, Hythe (Permissioned: 17/11646)

 

 

43

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

43

Hythe and Dibden War Memorial Hospital, Hythe (Permissioned: 17/11204)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

21

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

21

BLA1 Land adjacent to Blackfield Primary School, Blackfield

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30

LYM5 Fox Pond Dairy Depot and Garage, Milford Road, Lymington

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14

Buckland Granaries, Lymington (Permissioned: 17/10854)

 

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12

MoS1 Land north of School Lane, Milford on Sea (Permissioned: 17/10606)

 

 

15

 

 

27

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

42

NMT2 Land west of Moore Close, New Milton

 

 

 

15

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

15

NMT3 Land off Park Road, Ashley, New Milton

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

NMT8 Ashley Cross Garage, Ashley Lane, New Milton

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

59 Station Road, New Milton (Permissioned: 15/10032, 17/11741)

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

21 Kennard Road, New Milton (Permissioned: 18/10198, 11/97173)

 

 

 

11

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

11

Abbeyfield House, 17 Herbert Road, New Milton (Permissioned: 19/10264)

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

Fernmount House and Centre, Forest Pines, New Milton (Granted subject to s.106 Agreement: 19/11056)

 

 

 

 

 

49

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

49

RING3 Land west of Crow Lane, Ringwood (Permissioned: 17/11358, 18/11648)

 

 

25

 

 

20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

45

FORD1 Land east of Whitsbury Road, Fordingbridge (Permissioned: 17/10150)

 

 

26

 

 

52

 

 

18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

96

ASH1 Land adjoining Jubilee Crescent, Ashford

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10

SAND1 Land west of Scout Centre, Station Road, Sandleheath (Permissioned: 19/11080, 19/11083)

 

 

 

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14

Total Existing Large Commitments

 

136

 

209

 

92

 

0

 

0

 

25

 

96

 

44

 

20

 

60

 

67

 

112

 

140

 

140

 

145

 

95

 

1381

Icon for pdf Figure 1: Graphical illustration of the Housing Trajectory [54.48KB]

 

4.  Statement of Five Year Housing Land Supply

4.1.    The NPPF 2019 (paragraph 73) requires authorities to identify and update annually a supply of specific deliverable sites sufficient to provide a minimum of five years' worth of housing against their housing requirement set out in adopted strategic policies.

NPPF 2019 Annex 2 (Glossary), Definition of Deliverable: To be considered deliverable, sites for housing should be available now, offer a suitable location for development now, and be achievable with a realistic prospect that housing will be delivered on the site within five years. In particular:

a)  sites which do not involve major development and have planning permission, and all sites with detailed planning permission, should be considered deliverable until permission expires, unless there is clear evidence that homes will not be delivered within five years (for example because they are no longer viable, there is no longer a demand for the type of units or sites have long term phasing plans).

b)  where a site has outline planning permission for major development, has been allocated in a development plan, has a grant of permission in principle, or is identified on a brownfield register, it should only be considered deliverable where there is clear evidence that housing completions will begin on site within five years.

4.2.   The Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1: Planning Strategy was formally adopted on 6 July 2020 and therefore is used to calculate the Council's five year housing land supply. This statement covers the period 1 April 2020 to 31 March 2025 and sets out that the Council can clearly demonstrate a five year housing land supply.

Housing Target

4.3.    The Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1: Planning Strategy seeks to deliver a new housing requirement of at least 10,420 (net) dwellings for the period 2016-2036. The housing requirement is to be achieved through a step change in housing delivery and, as set out in Policy STR5, will be phased as follows:

  • 2016/17 to 2020/21 - 300 dwellings per annum
  • 2021/22 to 2025/26 - 400 dwellings per annum
  • 2026/27 to 2035/36 - 700 dwellings per annum

4.4.    The following paragraphs and tables set out New Forest District's (outside the National Park) five year housing land supply position for the period 2020/21-2024/25.

4.5.    The annual housing target for the years 2020/21-2024/25 is as follows:

Table 13: Housing Target 2020/21 to 2024/25

Year

Housing Target

2020/21

300

2021/22

400

2022/23

400

2023/24

400

2024/25

400

Target 2020/21-2024/25

1,900

 

Dwelling Completions 2016/17-2019/20

4.6.    In the period 2016/17 to 2019/20 1,283 dwellings were completed. This is 83 homes above the housing requirement for that period and there is consequently no housing supply shortfall to take account of in the five year housing land supply period 2020/21-2024/25, instead there is a surplus of 83 dwellings. The NPPF 2019 and PPG do not advise against taking past over-delivery into account when calculating the five year requirement. Reflecting the position that past under supply should be taken into account it is reasonable to also have regard to past positive performance. Furthermore, in their Report the Inspectors who examined theLocal Plan 2016-2036 Part 1: Planning Strategy took the approach of taking the surplus against the requirement to date into account in full and deducting it from the five year housing land supply requirement. On that basis therefore, the Council considers it entirely reasonable to deduct the surplus of 83 homes from the five year housing land supply requirement.

Table 14: Net Completions 2016/17 to 2019/20

Year

Completions

2016/17

350

2017/18

266

2018/19

359

2019/20

308

Total

1,283

 

Buffer

4.7.    The NPPF 2019 (Paragraph 73) requires a buffer of 5% to be applied to the five year housing land requirement to allow for choice and competition in the market. The buffer should be increased to 20% where delivery of housing over the previous three years has fallen below 85% of the requirement, as set out in the last published Housing Delivery Test results.

4.8.    In accordance with paragraph 18 of the Housing Delivery Test Measurement Rulebook, following adoption of the Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1: Planning Strategyon 6 July 2020, the Council contacted MHCLG in order to request it to re-run the Housing Delivery Test calculation for the measurement period 2016/17-2018/19 based on the newly adopted Local Plan housing requirement. The Housing Delivery Test calculation letter from MHCLG confirms a 'Pass' score of 108% in the Housing Delivery Test 2019 measurement (the latest measurement). For clarity, the confirmation letter from MHCLG is published on the Council's website.

4.9.    There is therefore no evidence of under-delivery under the terms of the NPPF 2019 (Paragraph 73(c)) against the up-to-date Local Plan housing requirement over the previous three years and indeed housing delivery over the previous three years has exceeded the housing requirement for that period. On that basis therefore, the appropriate buffer to apply for the purposes of the five year housing land supply assessment is the 5% buffer.

Five year housing land supply assessment for the period 2020/21 to 2024/25

4.10.  This assessment set out in Table 16 overleaf shows that the Council can demonstrate a five year housing land supply for the period 2020/21 to 2024/25 of 6.11 years using a 5% buffer. Table 17 overleaf shows the specific sites that are included within the five year housing land supply period.

4.11.  The strategic site allocations have only recently been assessed for their deliverability as part of the Local Plan examination. As part of the Local Plan examination the promoters of the strategic site allocations set out their delivery intentions and anticipated start and build- out rates. Whilst in the vast majority of cases the Council has taken a more conservative approach to the phasing of strategic sites compared to the site promoters in order to ensure robustness to the five year housing land supply calculation, the information supplied by the site promoters nevertheless provides evidence of their intentions and that the strategic sites included within Table 17 are available now, suitable for development now, achievable and there is a realistic prospect that housing will be delivered on the site within five years. Several of the strategic sites are already now in pre-application discussions, and planning applications are currently being determined for Strategic Site 15 (18/11606), Strategic Site 16 (20/10522), part of Strategic Site 18 (20/10228) and part of Strategic Site 1 (19/10703). A small part of Strategic Site 8 now has full planning permission (19/10007). Strategic Site 4 has a resolution to grant outline planning permission (19/10581) subject to the completion of the Section 106 agreement. The phasing set out for strategic site allocations also reflects discussion at the Local Plan examination hearing sessions.

Table 16: Five Year Housing Land Supply Calculation for the period 2020/21-2024/25

A

Homes that should have been delivered prior to start of 5 year land supply period (300 x 4)

1,200

B

Actual completions in the four years prior to start of 5 year land supply period

1,283

C

Supply surplus to date against the four year delivery requirement to date

(1,283 - 1,200)

83

D

Five Year Housing Target 2020/21-2024/25 based on Stepped Housing Target set out in Policy STR5 of the Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1

(1 year at 300 homes per annum, 4 years at 400 homes per annum)

1,900

E

Five Year Housing Target 2020/21-2024/25 deducting Supply Surplus (1,900

- 83)

1,817

F

Buffer applied

5%

G

Total Five Year Requirement 2020/21-2024/25 including 5% buffer (1,817 x

1.05)

1,908

H

Identified Five Year Supply

2,332

I

Years Land Supply for the period 2020/21-2024/25 ((H/G)*5)

6.11

 

Table 17: Five Year Housing Land Supply Sites as of 1 April 2020

Site Name

5 Year Housing Land Supply Period

Total 2020-2025

2020/21

2021/22

2022/23

2023/24

2024/25

TOT6 Land at Brokenford Lane, Totton (Permissioned: 18/11018, 19/10013)

21

24

 

 

 

45

HYD1 Land at Forest Lodge Farm, Hythe (Permissioned: 15/10751, 17/11770)

37

8

 

 

 

45

2 South Street, Hythe (Permissioned: 17/11646)

 

43

 

 

 

43

Buckland Granaries, Lymington (Permissioned: 17/10854)

12

 

 

 

 

12

MoS1 Land north of School Lane, Milford on Sea (Permissioned: 17/10606)

15

27

 

 

 

42

NMT2 Land west of Moore Close, New Milton

 

 

15

 

 

15

59 Station Road, New Milton (Permissioned: 15/10032, 17/11741)

 

 

10

 

 

10

21 Kennard Road, New Milton (Permissioned: 18/10198, 11/97173)

 

11

 

 

 

11

Abbeyfield House, 17 Herbert Road, New Milton (19/10264)

 

10

 

 

 

10

Fernmount House and Centre, Forest Pines, New Milton (Granted subject to s.106 Agreement: 19/11056)

 

 

49

 

 

49

RING3 Land west of Crow Lane, Ringwood (Permissioned: 17/11358, 18/11648)

25

20

 

 

 

45

FORD1 Land east of Whitsbury Road, Fordingbridge (Permissioned: 17/10150)

26

52

18

 

 

96

SAND1 Land west of Scout Centre, Station Road, Sandleheath (Permissioned: 19/11080, 19/11083)

 

14

 

 

 

14

Permissioned Small Sites (1-9 Dwellings)

77

77

77

77

 

308

SS.1 Land north of Totton

 

20

60

60

80

220

SS.3 Land at Cork's Farm, Marchwood

 

 

 

 

20

20

SS.5 Land at Milford Road, Lymington

 

 

40

65

40

145

SS.6 Land east of Lower Pennington Lane, Lymington

 

 

 

20

40

60

SS.7 Land north of Manor Road, Milford on Sea

 

 

20

40

40

100

SS.8 Land at Hordle Lane, Hordle

 

 

 

25

40

65

SS.9 Land east of Everton Road, Hordle

 

 

 

20

40

60

SS.10 Land at Brockhills Lane, New Milton

 

 

20

40

40

100

SS.11 Land south of Gore Road, New Milton

 

 

 

25

40

65

SS.12 Land south of Derritt Lane, Bransgore

 

 

20

40

40

100

SS.13 Land at Moortown Lane, Ringwood

 

 

 

25

40

65

SS.14 Land north of Hightown Road, Ringwood

 

 

 

25

50

75

SS.15 Land at Snails Lane, Ringwood

 

 

20

40

40

100

SS.16 Land north of Station Road, Ashford

 

 

25

50

50

125

SS.17 Land at Whitsbury Road, Fordingbridge

 

 

25

40

40

105

SS.18 Land at Burgate, Fordingbridge

 

 

25

40

40

105

Windfalls (Small Sites 1-9 Dwellings)

 

 

 

 

77

77

Totals

213

306

424

632

757

2332

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