1. Introduction

1.1. This report has a base date of 1 April 2021 and sets out the housing land supply position for New Forest District (outside the National Park). The New Forest District (outside the National Park) Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1: Planning Strategy was formally adopted on 6 July 2020 and is therefore used as the basis for calculating the Council's housing land supply. Strategic Housing Target

1.2. The Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1: Planning Strategy seeks to deliver a housing target of at least 10,420 (net) dwellings for the period 2016-2036.

1.3. The housing requirement is to be achieved through a step change in housing delivery and, as set out in Policy STR5, will be phased as follows:

• 2016/17 to 2020/21 - 300 dwellings per annum
• 2021/22 to 2025/26 - 400 dwellings per annum
• 2026/27 to 2035/36 - 700 dwellings per annum

1.4. The majority of the supply will be provided by the 18 strategic sites allocated in the Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1: Planning Strategy, dwellings that have been completed to date during the Plan period so far and by existing commitments. Policy STR5 also makes clear though at clause ii. that additional sites will need to be identified/allocated in the Local Plan Part 2 and/or Neighbourhood Plans in order to fully meet development needs. Clause ii. of Policy STR5 sets out that a) 200 dwellings will be identified in New Milton through their Neighbourhood Plan (the now 'made' New Milton Neighbourhood Plan (July 2021) identifies opportunity sites in the town centre to meet this target); b) 200 dwellings will be identified in Lymington and Pennington; and c) 400 dwellings are to be identified in the other towns and large villages.

1.5. The components of housing supply that will contribute towards the Local Plan housing requirement are summarised at Table 1. A review has been undertaken of the sites within the sources of supply in order to ensure that there is a reasonable prospect of them being delivered by the end of the Plan period. Following this review, a number of sites from the 'large sites with planning permission' category and 'non-permissioned adopted Local Plan Part 2 (2014) housing allocations' category have been excluded from the overall total housing supply figures. This is because, based on current information available, it is not known whether or not there is a realistic prospect of the sites being delivered by 2036.

1.6. As shown in Table 1 therefore, the current known supply from all the sources likely to be delivered by the end of the Plan period presently stands at 9,422 dwellings. This leaves a total of a further 998 dwellings to be identified in the Local Plan Part 2 and/or Neighbourhood Plans in order to fully meet the adopted Local Plan housing requirement. This is an increase of around 400 dwellings on the number previously set out in Policy STR5 (Clauses ii.b and ii.c). The change arises because a number of sites previously identified as available for development can no longer be relied upon to come forward within the Plan period and have been excluded from the overall supply.

1.7. Additional sites to meet this residual requirement of 998 dwellings will be identified through a comprehensive site identification and assessment process, production and publication of 2 an updated Housing and Economic Land Availability Assessment and by progressing the Local Plan Review Part 2 2016-2036. This work is already underway, and the Council has recently undertaken a 'Call for Sites'.

1.8. The contribution to the housing land supply for the Plan period of at least 5,995 dwellings expected from the strategic site allocations is based on the minimum site capacity requirement set out in the site allocation policies. It does not take into account any increases in capacity that may be achieved on these strategic site allocations through the planning application process. Most of the planning applications submitted for the strategic sites to date are for a greater number of dwellings than the minimum site figures set out in the Local Plan. It is consequently probable that at least some of the strategic site allocations will achieve planning permission for a higher number of dwellings than that set out in the minimum capacity estimates. This would add to the overall housing provision made in the Local Plan on the strategic site allocations and when these sites have been progressed to a stage where detailed planning permissions have been granted will increase the overall housing supply expected during the Plan period from the strategic site allocations.

Table 1: Summary of all sources of housing supply for the Local Plan period 2016-2036 as of 1 April 2021 Source of Housing Supply 2016-2036 Contribution from Source of Supply Net Completions 2016/17-2020/21 1,705 Planning Permissions (Large Sites - Sites of 10 or more dwellings) 155 Contribution to housing supply from permissioned sites for Use Class C2 care homes 35 Planning Permissions (Small Sites - Sites of 1-9 dwellings) 270 (Figure includes 10% discount) Non-permissioned adopted Local Plan Part 2 (2014) Allocations 177 Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1 Strategic Site Allocations 5,995 (At least) 'Made' New Milton Neighbourhood Plan (July 2021) Town Centre Sites 200 Small site windfalls (1-9 dwellings) 885 Total Supply 9,422 Estimate of residual number of dwellings to be identified 998