3. Timescales for Delivery of Housing (Housing Trajectory)
The following table and graphic illustrate the New Forest District (outside the National Park) housing trajectory (as of 1 April 2024):
| Years 1-5 | Years 6-10 | Year 11 - | Commentary | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/25 | 25/26 | 26/27 | 27/28 | 28/29 | 29/30 | 30/31 | 31/32 | 32/33 | 33/34 | 34/35 | 35/36 | TOTAL | |
TOT1 Land at Durley Farm, Totton |
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| 20 | 30 | 30 |
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| 80 | Site promoter has confirmed that they are working on bringing the site forward. The site does not yet however, meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. |
MAR3 Land south of Hythe Road, Marchwood (Permissioned: 23/10172 - Full) (66- bed care home, equivalent to 37 dwellings) |
| 37 |
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| 37 | Site under construction. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. Delivery timescales provided by the developer in August 2024. |
MAR4 Land off Mulberry Road, Marchwood |
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| 15 |
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| 15 | The site is expected to come forward before 2036. However, the site does not yet meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. |
HYD2 Land at Cabot Drive, Hythe |
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| 10 |
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| 10 | NFDC's housing development team has been in dialogue with Hampshire County Council to acquire this site. Negotiations are ongoing. The site however, does not yet meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. |
BLA1 Land adjacent to Blackfield Primary School, Blackfield |
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| 10 | 20 |
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| 30 | Landowner has confirmed the availability of the site, and it is anticipated to come forward before 2036. However, the site does not yet meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. |
NMT2 Land west of Moore Close, New Milton (Permissioned: 21/10932 - Full) | 16 |
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| 16 | Site under construction. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. Delivery timescales provided by the developer in August 2024. |
NMT3 Land off Park Road, Ashley, New Milton |
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| 10 | 10 |
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| 20 | Landowner has confirmed the availability of the site, and it is anticipated to come forward before 2036. However, the site does not yet meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. |
ASH1 Land adjoining Jubilee Crescent, Ashford (Outline application pending decision: 21/11490) |
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| 7 |
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| 7 | An outline planning application (21/11490) is currently being determined. However, no information is yet available regarding the future Reserved Matters application. The site does not yet meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and is therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. |
93-95 Commercial Road, Totton (Permissioned: 21/10106 - Outline) |
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| 8 |
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| 8 | Site was granted outline planning permission for 11 new dwellings and the demolition of the three existing dwellings in February 2022 (21/10106). The Reserved Matters application (24/10840) is currently being determined. Given this, there is confidence that this site will be delivered within the five-year housing land supply period. |
37-39 Salisbury Road, Totton (Permissioned: 23/11386 - Full) |
| 20 |
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| 20 | Site has full planning permission. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. Delivery timescales provided by the developer in August 2024. |
7-9 Rumbridge Street, Totton (Permissioned: 22/11107 - Full) |
| 13 |
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| 13 | Site has full planning permission. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. Delivery timescales provided by the developer in August 2024. |
Hythe and Dibden War Memorial Hospital, Hythe (Permissioned: 22/10939 - Full) |
| 22 |
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| 22 | Site under construction. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. Delivery timescales provided by the developer in August 2024. |
Orchard Gate, Noads Way, Hythe (Permissioned: 22/10813 - Full) |
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| 12 | 12 |
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| 24 | Site has full planning permission. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. Delivery timescales provided by the developer in September 2024. |
Land at The Rise and three neighbouring properties, Stanford Hill, Lymington (Permissioned: 20/10481 - Full) | 44 |
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| 44 | Site under construction. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. |
Former Police Station, Southampton Road, Lymington (Permissioned: 23/10282 - Full) |
| 32 |
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| 32 | Site has full planning permission. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. |
The George Business Centre, Christchurch Road, New Milton (Permissioned: 21/10496 - Prior Approval) | 10 |
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| 10 | Site under construction. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. Delivery timescales provided by the developer in September 2024. |
31-33 Compton Road / 62 Old Milton Road, New Milton (Permissioned: 22/11314, 23/10626 and 23/10470 - Prior Approval) |
| 23 |
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| 23 | Site under construction. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. Delivery timescales provided by the developer in August 2024. |
| Land at Milton Barns, Gore Road, New Milton (Resolution to grant subject to s.106 Agreement: 21/11677 - Full) |
| 17 | 17 | This site has a resolution to grant full permission subject to s.106 Agreement (21/11677). The s.106 Agreement is expected to be concluded shortly and delivery of the site is expected within five years. The site is considered to meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. | ||||||||||
RING3 Land west of Crow Lane, Ringwood (Permissioned: 20/11148 - Full (72- bedroom care home, equivalent to 40 dwellings) | 40 | 40 | Site under construction. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. | |||||||||||
| 25 Market Place, Ringwood (Permissioned: 20/10129 and 23/10467 - Full) | 10 | 10 | Site under construction. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. | |||||||||||
| Permissioned Small Sites (1-9 Dwellings) | 77 | 77 | 77 | 33 | 264 | All have planning permission and so meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. The permissioned small sites figure includes a 10% discount for non-implementation (this discount percentage was supported by Inspectors at the Local Plan examination). | ||||||||
| SS.1 Land north of Totton (Resolution to grant Reserved Matters permission: 23/10268 (persuant to outline consent 20/10997), Resolution to grant subject to s.106 Agreement: 22/10854 - Full, Permissioned: 22/10747 - Full, Permissioned: 23/10540 - Full, Outline application pending decision: 22/10219) |
| 70 | 78 | 50 | 80 | 115 | 115 | 112 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 920 | 80 dwellings have been completed (at Land at Loperwood Lane - 19/10703) at the strategic site allocation as of 1 April 2024, out of the minimum allocation capacity of Strategic Site 1 of 1,000 dwellings. There is a significant parcel north of Salisbury Road which received Reserved Matters permission (23/10268 - 269 dwellings) in December 2024. There is a housebuilder in place to deliver this parcel. Delivery timescales provided by the housebuilder in August 2024. These have been moved back a year in order to give resilience to this trajectory. Given the stage the site has reached, there is confidence that will be some housing completions on this parcel within five years (20 dwellings in 2026/27, 50 dwellings in 2027/28, and 50 dwellings in 2028/29). There are a further two small parcels within the allocation totalling 18 dwellings (22/10747 - 9 dwellings, 23/10540 - 9 dwellings) with full planning permission. Precommencement conditions are currently being discharged on both these parcels. These parcels are deliverable in full within the five-year housing land supply period (both in 2026/27). Land west of Hill Street (a northeast parcel of the allocation) has a resolution to grant full permission subject to s.106 Agreement (22/10854 - 60 dwellings). The s.106 Agreement is anticipated to signed shortly. There is a housebuilder in place to deliver this parcel. Given this parcel's status and delivery timescales provided by the housebuilder in September 2024, there is certainty that this parcel will be delivered within five years (32 dwellings in 2026/27 and 28 dwellings in 2027/28). Part of the site east of Pauletts Lane now has a resolution to grant outline permission subject to s.106 Agreement (22/10219 - up to 196 dwellings). However, no information is yet available regarding progress towards submitting the Reserved Matters application and timescales for the submission. Housebuilders control the other main parcels on the east side of Pauletts Lane and confirmed in September 2024 that they are progressing the necessary technical work needed to bring their respective sites forward to planning application and are working towards submitting planning applications for their respective sites during 2025. There is also a housebuilder in place on part of the northern area of the site west of Pauletts Lane that is progressing technical work to submit a planning application during 2025. However, no planning applications are yet currently submitted for these parcels of the allocation or the other main areas on the west side of Pauletts Lane. These areas of the strategic site allocation are therefore not yet considered to meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. | |
SS.2 Land south of Bury Road, Marchwood |
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| 50 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 500 | The landowner has confirmed it is working on bringing the site forward. No planning applications are currently submitted. The site does not yet meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. A minimum of 500 dwellings are currently projected to be delivered within the Plan period. The remaining dwellings (500) anticipated on the allocation (including the area currently occupied by the solar array - approx. 300 dwellings) are currently not anticipated to be delivered within the Plan period and are projected to be delivered after 2036. |
SS.3 Land at Cork's Farm, Marchwood (Permissioned: 22/10449 - Outline) |
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| 20 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 10 |
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| 150 | This site received outline permission (22/10449) in March 2024 for up to 150 dwellings. A housebuilder is in place to deliver the site and the Reserved Matters application (24/10992) was submitted in November 2024. Given these factors and the stage the site has reached, there is confidence that there will be some housing delivered within the five-year land supply period (20 dwellings in 2027/28 and 40 dwellings in 2028/29). |
SS.4 The former Fawley Power Station |
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| 40 | 40 | An outline planning application (19/10581 for 1,380 dwellings and 95,300sqm of commercial, civic and employment floorspace) was resolved to be permitted subject to s.106 in July 2020 but was withdrawn in July 2024 due to assessments concluding that the scheme was not financially viable. NFDC is working with the applicant to consider viable alternative development options for the site. In this context it is unlikely that there would be housing delivery on the site until 2035/36 at the earliest. |
SS.5 Land at Milford Road, Lymington (Permissioned: 23/10691 - Reserved Matters (pursuant to outline consent 20/11192), Full application pending decision: 24/10590) |
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| 40 | 62 | 33 | 20 | 30 |
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| 185 | Part of the allocation has Reserved Matters permission for 90 dwellings. A housebuilder is in place to deliver this part of the allocation. This permissioned site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. Delivery timescales were provided by the housebuilder in September 2024 and all 90 dwellings are expected to be delivered by 2028/29. A full planning application (24/10590) is currently being determined for the area of the strategic site allocation north of Milford Road. A housebuilder is in place to deliver this part of the allocation. Delivery timescales were provided by the housebuilder in September 2024. These have been moved back a year in order to give resilience to this trajectory, and recognising that the planning application has not yet been approved. Given these factors, there is nevertheless confidence that this part of the allocation will be delivered within the five-year land supply period. An outline planning application (24/10946) has recently been submitted for the other part of the allocation south of the parcel with Reserved Matters permission is controlled by a housebuilder. However, the outline application is not yet determined and no information is yet available regarding progress towards submitting the Reserved Matters application and timescales for the submission. It is not considered to yet meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. |
SS.6 Land east of Lower Pennington Lane, Lymington (Full application pending decision: 24/10401 and Outline application pending decision: 22/11424) |
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| 10 | 10 | 40 | 40 |
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| 100 | A full planning application (24/10401) is currently being determined for the northwest area of the strategic site allocation at Northfield. A housebuilder is in place to deliver this part of the allocation. Delivery timescales were provided by the housebuilder in September 2024. These have been moved back a year in order to give resilience to this trajectory, and recognising that the planning application has not yet been approved. Given these factors, there is confidence that this part of the allocation will be delivered within the five-year land supply period. An outline planning application (22/11424) is currently being determined for the remainder of the strategic site allocation. However, the outline application is not yet determined and no information is yet available regarding progress towards submitting the Reserved Matters application and timescales for the submission. The majority of the strategic site allocation is not considered therefore to yet meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and is therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. |
SS.7 Land north of Manor Road, Milford on Sea (Resolution to grant subject to s.106 Agreement: 23/10476 - Outline) |
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| 25 | 50 | 50 | 45 |
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| 170 | This site has a resolution to grant outline permission subject to s.106 Agreement (23/10476) for up to 170 dwellings. A housebuilder is in place to deliver the site. The Reserved Matters application is currently being prepared and, subject to receipt of the outline permission, is anticipated in 2025. Delivery timescales have been provided by the developer in September 2024. These have been moved back two years in order to give resilience to this trajectory, and recognising that the s.106 is not yet signed and permission is still to be issued for 23/10476 and the Reserved Matters application has not yet been submitted. Given the progress made on the site though, there is confidence that there will be some housing completions on this site within five years (25 dwellings in 2028/29). |
SS.8 Land at Hordle Lane, Hordle (Permissioned: 19/10007 - Full, 23/11089 - Lawful Development Certificate, 23/10225 - Variation of condition, Resolution to grant subject to s.106 Agreement: 23/10661 - Outline)) |
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| 50 | 50 | 50 |
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| 160 | 10 dwellings have full planning permission (19/10007, 23/11089 - LDC, 23/10225 - VAR) and meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. An outline planning application (23/10661) for the majority of the rest of the allocation has a resolution to grant planning permission subject to s.106 Agreement (Planning committee resolution given in February 2025) with the applicant being a housebuilder. Delivery timescales have been provided by the developer in September 2024. However, the outline planning application is yet to be determined and a Reserved Matters application would need to be submitted and determined before the site can be delivered. No planning applications are currently submitted for the remaining smaller parcels of the allocation. The majority of the strategic site allocation is not therefore considered to yet meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. |
SS.9 Land east of Everton Road, Hordle (Permissioned: 23/11731 - Full) |
| 30 | 50 | 17 |
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| 100 | 97 dwellings have full planning permission (21/11731) and meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. Site is under construction. Delivery timescales have been provided by the developer in September 2024. No planning applications are currently submitted for the remaining small parcels of the allocation therefore the residual dwellings are not included for delivery in years 1-5. |
SS.10 Land at Brockhills Lane, New Milton (Permissioned: 21/11179 - Full) |
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| 25 | 50 | 50 | 39 |
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| 164 | Site has full planning permission. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. Pre-commencement conditions are currently being discharged. Delivery timescales have been provided by the developer in September 2024. These have been moved back a year to recognise that construction of the development has not, as of November 2024, commenced and therefore to provide resilience to this trajectory. |
SS.11 Land south of Gore Road, New Milton (Resolution to grant subject to s.106 Agreement: 22/10418 - Outline) |
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| 20 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 38 |
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| 178 | This site has a resolution to grant outline permission subject to s.106 Agreement (22/10418) for up to 178 dwellings. However, the site does not yet have a housebuilder and no information is yet available regarding progress towards submitting the Reserved Matters application and timescales for the submission. The site is therefore not yet considered to meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. |
SS.12 Land south of Derritt Lane, Bransgore (Permissioned: 21/11097 - Full) |
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| 20 | 40 | 40 |
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| 100 | Site has full planning permission. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. Pre-commencement conditions currently being discharged. Variation of condition application currently being determined - 24/10380 Variation of conditions 2, 26 and 37 of application 21/11097 to allow amended layout and drainage plans in regard to the incorporation of a package treatment plan and associated infrastructure to enable the treatment and mitigation of a large part of the proposed development's phosphate output. |
SS.13 Land at Moortown Lane, Ringwood (Resolution to grant subject to s.106 Agreement: 23/11723 - Hybrid) |
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| 25 | 50 | 50 | 65 | 70 | 70 | 50 | 50 | 430 | Site now has a resolution to grant hybrid permission subject to s.106 Agreement (21/11723 - Outline for up to 293 dwellings with full details for the first phase of 150 dwellings) covering the majority of the strategic site allocation. There is a housebuilder in place to deliver the site. Delivery timescales have been provided by the developer in September 2024. These have been moved back in order to give resilience to this trajectory. However, given the progress made and status of the site, there is confidence that there will be some housing completions on this site within five years (25 dwellings in 2028/29). |
SS.14 Land north of Hightown Road, Ringwood (Resolution to grant subject to s.106 Agreement: 21/10042 - Outline) |
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| 20 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 320 | This site has a resolution to grant outline permission subject to s.106 Agreement (21/10042) for up to 400 dwellings and 3ha of employment land. There is a housebuilder in place to deliver the site. Flood mitigation measures will need to be constructed and operational before first house sale. Major highways works (including the Southampton Road junction upgrade) are also required. Since the resolution to grant outline consent was given in March 2023 the applicant has subsequently submitted a viability report and the outline planning application will need to go back to Planning Committee for determination. Subject to outline planning permission being granted, the first Reserved Matters application is anticipated in 2025. Delivery timescales for the site were provided by the developer in September 2024. These have been moved back a year in order to give resilience to this trajectory in view of the factors described above. The site is not considered to yet meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. |
SS.15 Land at Snails Lane, Ringwood |
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| 35 | 35 | 30 |
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| 100 | A full planning application for the site has been submitted in February 2025 (25/10114 for 140 dwellings). A housebuilder is engaged to deliver the site. Delivery timescales were provided by the promoter in August 2024. These have been moved back three years to give resilience to this trajectory as the full planning application has only just been submitted. Given that a planning application has only just been submitted, the site is not considered to yet meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. |
SS.16 Land north of Station Road, Ashford (Permissioned: 23/10316 - Full) |
| 20 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 18 |
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| 198 | Site has full planning permission. Site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. Development is under construction. Variation of condition application 24/10595 was approved in October 2024. |
SS.17 Land at Whitsbury Road, Fordingbridge (Permissioned: 20/11469 - Full, Permissioned: 21/10052 - Outline) | 50 | 7 |
| 24 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 18 |
| 399 | Land at Tinkers Cross (20/11469) is currently under construction with 7 dwellings completed in 2023/24 and 57 remaining to be completed which are expected to be built in 2024/25 and 2025/26. Delivery timescales have been provided by the developer in September 2024. This portion of the allocation meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF. The vast majority of the remainder of the site has outline permission (21/10052) for up to 342 dwellings. A Reserved Matters application for the first phase of development (24/10809 for 74 dwellings) has been submitted, and an application for the construction of a temporary access which will enable the timely delivery of the first phase has been permitted (24/10651). There is a housebuilder in place to deliver the site. Delivery timescales have been provided by the developer in September 2024. These have been moved back a year in order to give resilience to this trajectory, and recognising that the first Reserved Matters application has not yet been approved. Given these factors, there is confidence that will be some housing completions on this site within five years (the 74 dwellings from the first phase for which a Reserved Matters application (24/10809) is being determined). |
SS.18 Land at Burgate, Fordingbridge (Permisssioned: 20/10228 - Full, Permissioned: 21/11237 - Hybrid, Permissioned: 23/10518 - Full, Resolution to grant subject to s.106 Agreement: 22/11268 - Hybrid) | 26 | 12 | 50 | 61 | 50 | 70 | 96 | 75 | 42 |
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| 482 | Land at Burgates Acres (20/10228) in the southeast of the strategic site allocation is currently under construction with 36 dwellings completed in 2023/24 and 26 (net as includes loss of one existing dwelling) completed in 2024/25. There is a hybrid planning permission covering most of the rest of the allocation for a total of 404 dwellings (21/11237 - Outline for up to 292 dwellings with full details for the first phase of 112 dwellings). The development commenced in July 2024. Phase 1 of the site meets the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and it is expected that all 112 dwellings in this phase will be delivered within the next five years. Reserved Matters applications are being prepared for the subsequent phases and timescales for the delivery of housing have been provided by the developer in September 2024. A more conservative view of build-out rates has been taken in this trajectory to ensure robustness, however, in view of the stage the site has reached and progress made, there is confidence that 162 dwellings will be delivered from the 404 dwellings in the five-year housing land supply period (all 112 dwellings from phase 1 and a further 50 dwellings from the next development phase of the site). Full planning permission (23/10518) has been granted for the construction of the link road through the site, the early provision of which will support the timely delivery of homes and will help to maintain a consistent annual completion rate. The link road is currently under construction. There is also a resolution to grant hybrid permission subject to s.106 Agreement (22/10418) on the part of the allocation at Middle Burgate House for 52 dwellings (22/11268 - full details for 11 (net as includes loss of one existing dwelling), outline for 41). The part of the resolution to grant which is for full consent has a likely prospect of delivery within five years (in 2027/28). The part with a resolution to grant outline consent does not yet meet the definition of 'deliverable' set out in the NPPF and therefore no delivery is currently included in years 1-5. |
Developable Brownfield Land Register Sites without Planning Permission and not allocated in the Local Plan |
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| 45 | 45 | 25 | 25 | 140 | The last Brownfield Land Register identified a number of sites that could be potentially suitable for residential development. Based on current known information on site availability/any relevant progress on these potential sites there is currently considered to be a reasonable prospect of delivery of around 140 dwellings from this source of supply within the Plan period. |
Windfalls (Small Sites 1-9 Dwellings) |
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| 44 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 660 | Based on clear trend-based evidence demonstrating reliability of supply. |
Totals | 273 | 293 | 394 | 508 | 498 | 716 | 811 | 697 | 646 | 540 | 420 | 442 | 6,238 | |
Local Plan 2016-2036 Part 1 Stepped Housing Target (Policy STR5) | 400 | 400 | 700 | 700 | 700 | 700 | 700 | 700 | 700 | 700 | 700 | 700 |
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Figure 1: Graphical illustration of the Housing Trajectory
Graphical Illustration of the Housing Trajectory 2016-2036 (PDF, 76 KB)
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